Perth RedStar FC U23 vs Fremantle City FC U23

05 Sep 2026 · 06:15

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.4 pp

Perth RedStar FC U23

Fremantle City FC U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.7% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 34.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% 2.42 DRAW 22.6% 4.00 AWAY 40.0% 2.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Perth RedStar FC U23 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.7% win probability, compared with 37.4% implied by the market. The 6.4 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Perth RedStar FC U23

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Perth RedStar FC U23 Fremantle City FC U23

Shots 14.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 2.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Perth RedStar FC U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Perth RedStar FC U23 Fremantle City FC U23

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Fremantle City FC U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Perth RedStar FC U23 Fremantle City FC U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Perth RedStar FC U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Perth RedStar FC U23 ↑ +0.02 (+0.8%)

Fremantle City FC U23 ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.