Brasil de Pelotas vs Lajeadense

06 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Brasil de Pelotas

Lajeadense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.7% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 9.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.3% 1.46 DRAW 24.2% 4.00 AWAY 9.5% 10.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Brasil de Pelotas

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brasil de Pelotas Lajeadense

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Brasil de Pelotas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brasil de Pelotas Lajeadense

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brasil de Pelotas Lajeadense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Brasil de Pelotas ↑ +0.01 (+0.7%)

Lajeadense ↑ +3.73 (+57.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.