Matagalpa FC vs UNAN Managua

04 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Matagalpa FC

UNAN Managua

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% 2.05 DRAW 26.7% 3.54 AWAY 27.2% 3.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Matagalpa FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Matagalpa FC UNAN Managua

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Matagalpa FC UNAN Managua

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Matagalpa FC UNAN Managua

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Matagalpa FC ↑ +0.25 (+13.9%)

UNAN Managua ↓ -0.23 (-6.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.