Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River

07 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Liverpool Montevideo

Boston River

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.7% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 21.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.8% 1.86 DRAW 26.6% 3.62 AWAY 21.6% 4.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Liverpool Montevideo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liverpool Montevideo Boston River

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liverpool Montevideo Boston River

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Boston River has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liverpool Montevideo Boston River

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Liverpool Montevideo ↓ -0.05 (-2.7%)

Boston River ↓ -0.06 (-1.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.