Jaguares de Chiapas FC vs Montaneses FC

06 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Jaguares de Chiapas FC

Montaneses FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.6% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% 2.00 DRAW 25.6% 3.60 AWAY 28.3% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Montaneses FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jaguares de Chiapas FC Montaneses FC

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Montaneses FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jaguares de Chiapas FC Montaneses FC

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Jaguares de Chiapas FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jaguares de Chiapas FC Montaneses FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Jaguares de Chiapas FC ↓ -0.20 (-9.1%)

Montaneses FC ↑ +0.38 (+13.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.