Cordobes Futbol Club vs Zacatepec FC

26 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Cordobes Futbol Club

Zacatepec FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 39.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.7% 2.95 DRAW 28.4% 3.20 AWAY 40.9% 2.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cordobes Futbol Club

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cordobes Futbol Club Zacatepec FC

Shots 14.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Cordobes Futbol Club, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cordobes Futbol Club Zacatepec FC

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Zacatepec FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cordobes Futbol Club Zacatepec FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Cordobes Futbol Club ↑ +0.43 (+17.2%)

Zacatepec FC ↓ -0.28 (-11.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.