Tigres de Álica FC vs Lobos ULM

19 Sep 2026 · 04:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Tigres de Álica FC

Lobos ULM

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.9% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 14.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.5% 1.44 DRAW 22.2% 4.20 AWAY 13.3% 7.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lobos ULM

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tigres de Álica FC Lobos ULM

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Lobos ULM, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tigres de Álica FC Lobos ULM

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tigres de Álica FC Lobos ULM

The combined recent performance profile favours Lobos ULM.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tigres de Álica FC ↓ -0.13 (-8.1%)

Lobos ULM ↑ +1.51 (+27.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.