NK Zagora vs NK Varazdin

09 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

NK Zagora

NK Varazdin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.5% DRAW 13.1% AWAY 77.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.8% 12.00 DRAW 12.9% 7.25 AWAY 79.3% 1.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Zagora

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Zagora NK Varazdin

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours NK Zagora, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Zagora NK Varazdin

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Zagora NK Varazdin

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Zagora ↑ +0.70 (+6.2%)

NK Varazdin ↑ +0.01 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.