USM Khenchela vs USM Alger

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

USM Khenchela

USM Alger

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% DRAW 32.8% AWAY 25.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% 2.31 DRAW 32.3% 2.91 AWAY 27.0% 3.49

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: USM Khenchela

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

USM Khenchela USM Alger

Shots 14.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours USM Khenchela, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

USM Khenchela USM Alger

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.0

USM Alger has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

USM Khenchela USM Alger

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

USM Khenchela ↑ +0.32 (+16.1%)

USM Alger ↓ -0.11 (-3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.