Grosseto vs US Latina Calcio

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Grosseto

US Latina Calcio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 29.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.30 DRAW 27.0% 3.59 AWAY 30.7% 3.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Grosseto

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Grosseto US Latina Calcio

Shots 17.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 14.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Grosseto, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Grosseto US Latina Calcio

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Grosseto US Latina Calcio

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Grosseto ↑ +0.25 (+12.2%)

US Latina Calcio ↓ -0.22 (-6.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.