HNK Segesta vs NK Osijek

09 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

HNK Segesta

NK Osijek

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.4% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 56.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.0% 5.41 DRAW 24.4% 3.78 AWAY 58.6% 1.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Osijek

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

HNK Segesta NK Osijek

Shots 12.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours NK Osijek, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

HNK Segesta NK Osijek

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.3

HNK Segesta has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

HNK Segesta NK Osijek

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

HNK Segesta ↓ -2.24 (-29.3%)

NK Osijek ↑ +0.17 (+12.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.