Halcones Negros FC vs Club Calor

27 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.6 pp

Halcones Negros FC

Club Calor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.0% DRAW 19.2% AWAY 17.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.4% 1.67 DRAW 21.3% 4.50 AWAY 21.3% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Halcones Negros FC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.0% win probability, compared with 57.4% implied by the market. The 5.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Halcones Negros FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Halcones Negros FC Club Calor

Shots 14.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Halcones Negros FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Halcones Negros FC Club Calor

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Halcones Negros FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Halcones Negros FC Club Calor

The combined recent performance profile favours Halcones Negros FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Halcones Negros FC ↓ -1.03 (-38.1%)

Club Calor ↑ +2.30 (+104.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.