ACF Zapotlanejo vs FC Santiago

26 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

ACF Zapotlanejo

FC Santiago

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 42.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.3% 3.03 DRAW 27.0% 3.40 AWAY 42.7% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ACF Zapotlanejo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

ACF Zapotlanejo FC Santiago

Shots 11.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours ACF Zapotlanejo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ACF Zapotlanejo FC Santiago

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.8

FC Santiago has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ACF Zapotlanejo FC Santiago

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ACF Zapotlanejo = (0.0%)

FC Santiago = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.