Correcaminos II vs Mineros de Fresnillo

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Correcaminos II

Mineros de Fresnillo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 33.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% 2.29 DRAW 27.0% 3.40 AWAY 32.8% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Correcaminos II Mineros de Fresnillo

Shots 6.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Correcaminos II Mineros de Fresnillo

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Correcaminos II Mineros de Fresnillo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Correcaminos II ↑ +0.15 (+7.0%)

Mineros de Fresnillo ↓ -0.09 (-3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.