FK Ryazan vs FK Spartak Kostroma

08 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

FK Ryazan

FK Spartak Kostroma

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.7% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 57.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.5% 5.23 DRAW 23.7% 3.87 AWAY 58.8% 1.56

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Spartak Kostroma

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Ryazan FK Spartak Kostroma

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours FK Spartak Kostroma, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Ryazan FK Spartak Kostroma

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Ryazan FK Spartak Kostroma

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FK Ryazan ↓ -0.15 (-2.8%)

FK Spartak Kostroma ↓ -0.25 (-13.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.