FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast vs Rotor Volgograd

09 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast

Rotor Volgograd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.6% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 42.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.2% 3.66 DRAW 27.8% 3.45 AWAY 46.0% 2.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 29.6% win probability, compared with 26.2% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast Rotor Volgograd

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast Rotor Volgograd

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.8

FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast Rotor Volgograd

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Volna Nizhegorodskaya Oblast ↑ +0.20 (+5.8%)

Rotor Volgograd ↓ -0.09 (-4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.