Dinamo Stavropol vs FC Nizhny Novgorod

09 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Dinamo Stavropol

FC Nizhny Novgorod

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.5% DRAW 14.2% AWAY 74.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.4% 10.20 DRAW 14.0% 6.84 AWAY 76.6% 1.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dinamo Stavropol

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dinamo Stavropol FC Nizhny Novgorod

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Dinamo Stavropol, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dinamo Stavropol FC Nizhny Novgorod

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dinamo Stavropol FC Nizhny Novgorod

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Dinamo Stavropol ↓ -4.30 (-29.7%)

FC Nizhny Novgorod ↑ +0.09 (+8.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.