Volgar G Astrakhan vs FK Volga Ulyanovsk

09 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

Volgar G Astrakhan

FK Volga Ulyanovsk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 38.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.1% 3.19 DRAW 26.6% 3.61 AWAY 43.3% 2.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Volgar G Astrakhan clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.5% win probability, compared with 30.1% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Volgar G Astrakhan has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Volgar G Astrakhan FK Volga Ulyanovsk

Shots 12.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Volgar G Astrakhan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Volgar G Astrakhan FK Volga Ulyanovsk

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Volgar G Astrakhan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Volgar G Astrakhan FK Volga Ulyanovsk

The combined recent performance profile favours Volgar G Astrakhan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Volgar G Astrakhan ↑ +0.39 (+14.1%)

FK Volga Ulyanovsk ↓ -0.19 (-7.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.