FC Murom vs Veles

09 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

FC Murom

Veles

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 43.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% 3.45 DRAW 26.0% 3.69 AWAY 46.2% 2.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Murom relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.5% win probability, compared with 27.8% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Murom

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Murom Veles

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Murom, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Murom Veles

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Murom Veles

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Murom = (0.0%)

Veles = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.