Chertanovo vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Chertanovo

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.9% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 54.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.8% 4.62 DRAW 24.0% 4.00 AWAY 55.2% 1.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chertanovo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chertanovo Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Chertanovo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chertanovo Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chertanovo Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Chertanovo ↓ -1.02 (-18.1%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk ↑ +0.17 (+11.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.