Dynamo Barnaul vs FK Chelyabinsk

10 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Dynamo Barnaul

FK Chelyabinsk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 58.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.5% 5.12 DRAW 21.9% 4.11 AWAY 60.6% 1.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dynamo Barnaul

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dynamo Barnaul FK Chelyabinsk

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Dynamo Barnaul, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dynamo Barnaul FK Chelyabinsk

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 6.0

FK Chelyabinsk has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dynamo Barnaul FK Chelyabinsk

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Dynamo Barnaul ↓ -0.52 (-9.2%)

FK Chelyabinsk ↓ -0.08 (-5.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.