Karaman vs Kepez Belediyespor

16 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.4 pp

Karaman

Kepez Belediyespor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 41.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.8% 2.57 DRAW 27.7% 3.32 AWAY 36.4% 2.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Kepez Belediyespor clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.8% win probability, compared with 36.4% implied by the market. The 5.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Kepez Belediyespor has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Karaman Kepez Belediyespor

Shots 4.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Kepez Belediyespor, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Karaman Kepez Belediyespor

Shots allowed 20.3 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Kepez Belediyespor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Karaman Kepez Belediyespor

The combined recent performance profile favours Kepez Belediyespor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Karaman ↑ +0.02 (+0.8%)

Kepez Belediyespor ↓ -0.02 (-0.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.