Kirikkale FK vs Kirsehir

16 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Kirikkale FK

Kirsehir

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 20.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.3% 1.81 DRAW 25.8% 3.60 AWAY 22.9% 4.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Kirikkale FK relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.2% win probability, compared with 51.3% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Kirikkale FK has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kirikkale FK Kirsehir

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Kirikkale FK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kirikkale FK Kirsehir

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Kirikkale FK has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kirikkale FK Kirsehir

The combined recent performance profile favours Kirikkale FK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kirikkale FK ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

Kirsehir ↓ -0.05 (-1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.