Guerreros de Autlán vs La Tribu de Cd. Juárez

14 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Guerreros de Autlán

La Tribu de Cd. Juárez

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.9% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 53.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.8% 4.03 DRAW 24.1% 3.82 AWAY 53.1% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Guerreros de Autlán

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guerreros de Autlán La Tribu de Cd. Juárez

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Guerreros de Autlán, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guerreros de Autlán La Tribu de Cd. Juárez

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 0.5

La Tribu de Cd. Juárez has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guerreros de Autlán La Tribu de Cd. Juárez

The combined recent performance profile favours La Tribu de Cd. Juárez.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Guerreros de Autlán ↑ +0.08 (+2.1%)

La Tribu de Cd. Juárez ↑ +0.04 (+2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.