La Tribu de Cd. Juárez vs ACF Zapotlanejo

06 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

La Tribu de Cd. Juárez

ACF Zapotlanejo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.1% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 17.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.3% 1.57 DRAW 23.5% 3.90 AWAY 18.2% 5.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ACF Zapotlanejo

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

La Tribu de Cd. Juárez ACF Zapotlanejo

Shots 4.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours ACF Zapotlanejo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

La Tribu de Cd. Juárez ACF Zapotlanejo

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.8

La Tribu de Cd. Juárez has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

La Tribu de Cd. Juárez ACF Zapotlanejo

The combined recent performance profile favours La Tribu de Cd. Juárez.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

La Tribu de Cd. Juárez = (0.0%)

ACF Zapotlanejo ↑ +0.69 (+15.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.