Juticalpa vs Genesis de Comayagua

07 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Juticalpa

Genesis de Comayagua

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 48.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.8% 4.00 DRAW 28.8% 3.30 AWAY 47.4% 2.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Genesis de Comayagua

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Juticalpa Genesis de Comayagua

Shots 3.3 · On target 1.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Genesis de Comayagua, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Juticalpa Genesis de Comayagua

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Juticalpa Genesis de Comayagua

The combined recent performance profile favours Genesis de Comayagua.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Juticalpa ↑ +0.60 (+17.6%)

Genesis de Comayagua ↑ +0.17 (+8.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.