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Ireland National League · IE

Villa FC Waterford vs Newbridge Town FC

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00
NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp
Villa FC Waterford
Newbridge Town FC
HOME 80.5% DRAW 11.6% AWAY 7.8%
HOME 80.0% 1.17 DRAW 12.5% 7.50 AWAY 7.5% 12.50

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Newbridge Town FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Villa FC Waterford Newbridge Town FC
Shots 2.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 4.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Newbridge Town FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Villa FC Waterford Newbridge Town FC
Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Villa FC Waterford has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Villa FC Waterford Newbridge Town FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Villa FC Waterford ↑ +0.00 (+0.3%)
Newbridge Town FC ↑ +2.50 (+25.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.