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Russia Division 2 · RU

FC Orenburg II vs Nosta Novotroitsk

25 Oct 2026 · 11:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Recent Performance

The home side have often remained competitive without securing many victories. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have enjoyed a strong sequence of recent results.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: FC Orenburg II

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
FC Orenburg II Nosta Novotroitsk
Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Orenburg II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FC Orenburg II Nosta Novotroitsk
Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Nosta Novotroitsk has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FC Orenburg II Nosta Novotroitsk

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Russia Division 2 · 867 matches with scores · 443 with shots · coverage 51.1%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

FC Orenburg II6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
WDLLDD
Shot data available for 4/6 matches
Nosta Novotroitsk6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DWWWWL
Shot data available for 1/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FC Orenburg IIHome team
+3.611.8 actual
Nosta NovotroitskAway team
—Insufficient data
FC Orenburg II: 11.8 · league average 8.1 · 4 valid matchesNosta Novotroitsk: — · league average — · 1 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FC Orenburg IIHome team
+0.68.8 actual
Nosta NovotroitskAway team
—Insufficient data
FC Orenburg II: 8.8 · league average 8.1 · 4 valid matchesNosta Novotroitsk: — · league average — · 1 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FC Orenburg IIHome team
+1.45.3 actual
Nosta NovotroitskAway team
—Insufficient data
FC Orenburg II: 5.3 · league average 3.9 · 4 valid matchesNosta Novotroitsk: — · league average — · 1 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FC Orenburg IIHome team
+1.15.0 actual
Nosta NovotroitskAway team
—Insufficient data
FC Orenburg II: 5.0 · league average 3.9 · 4 valid matchesNosta Novotroitsk: — · league average — · 1 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FC Orenburg IIHome team
−0.041.33 actual
Nosta NovotroitskAway team
+0.081.50 actual
FC Orenburg II: 1.33 · league average 1.37 · 6 valid matchesNosta Novotroitsk: 1.50 · league average 1.42 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
FC Orenburg IIHome team
−2.8 pp14.9% actual
Nosta NovotroitskAway team
—Insufficient data
FC Orenburg II: 14.9% · league average 17.7% · 4 valid matchesNosta Novotroitsk: — · league average — · 1 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
FC Orenburg IIHome team
−0.5 pp17.1% actual
Nosta NovotroitskAway team
—Insufficient data
FC Orenburg II: 17.1% · league average 17.7% · 4 valid matchesNosta Novotroitsk: — · league average — · 1 valid matches

Individual match details

FC Orenburg II · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
19/10/2026Away2–19 / 165 / 7
11/10/2026Home1–116 / 57 / 5
04/10/2026Away1–3——
27/09/2026Away0–2——
20/09/2026Home3–313 / 106 / 4
13/09/2026Away1–19 / 43 / 4
Nosta Novotroitsk · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away0–0——
11/10/2026Home2–1——
04/10/2026Away2–1——
27/09/2026Home2–0——
20/09/2026Home3–0——
13/09/2026Away0–27 / 124 / 6

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.