Ural-D Yekaterinburg vs FC Orenburg II

13 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Ural-D Yekaterinburg

FC Orenburg II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.0% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 39.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% 2.39 DRAW 24.8% 3.62 AWAY 37.6% 2.39

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FC Orenburg II

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ural-D Yekaterinburg FC Orenburg II

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ural-D Yekaterinburg FC Orenburg II

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.8

FC Orenburg II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ural-D Yekaterinburg FC Orenburg II

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Orenburg II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Ural-D Yekaterinburg ↑ +0.13 (+5.8%)

FC Orenburg II ↓ -0.30 (-11.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.