Rubin Kazan II vs Nosta Novotroitsk

13 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Rubin Kazan II

Nosta Novotroitsk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.8% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 23.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.4% 1.80 DRAW 24.8% 3.74 AWAY 23.8% 3.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Rubin Kazan II

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rubin Kazan II Nosta Novotroitsk

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Rubin Kazan II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rubin Kazan II Nosta Novotroitsk

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rubin Kazan II Nosta Novotroitsk

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rubin Kazan II ↑ +0.07 (+4.0%)

Nosta Novotroitsk ↓ -0.06 (-1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.