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Russia Division 2 · RU

Pobeda Nizhny vs Dynamo Barnaul

25 Oct 2026 · 10:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Recent Performance

The home side have struggled to obtain positive results. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Dynamo Barnaul has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Pobeda Nizhny Dynamo Barnaul
Shots 4.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Dynamo Barnaul, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Pobeda Nizhny Dynamo Barnaul
Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Dynamo Barnaul has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Pobeda Nizhny Dynamo Barnaul

The combined recent performance profile favours Dynamo Barnaul.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Russia Division 2 · 866 matches with scores · 443 with shots · coverage 51.2%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Pobeda Nizhny6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLLDLL
Shot data available for 4/6 matches
Dynamo Barnaul6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWLDWL
Shot data available for 3/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Pobeda NizhnyHome team
−4.14.0 actual
Dynamo BarnaulAway team
+4.313.0 actual
Pobeda Nizhny: 4.0 · league average 8.1 · 4 valid matchesDynamo Barnaul: 13.0 · league average 8.7 · 3 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Pobeda NizhnyHome team
+6.614.8 actual
Dynamo BarnaulAway team
+0.88.3 actual
Pobeda Nizhny: 14.8 · league average 8.1 · 4 valid matchesDynamo Barnaul: 8.3 · league average 7.5 · 3 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Pobeda NizhnyHome team
−1.92.0 actual
Dynamo BarnaulAway team
+1.86.0 actual
Pobeda Nizhny: 2.0 · league average 3.9 · 4 valid matchesDynamo Barnaul: 6.0 · league average 4.2 · 3 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Pobeda NizhnyHome team
+2.96.8 actual
Dynamo BarnaulAway team
+0.54.0 actual
Pobeda Nizhny: 6.8 · league average 3.9 · 4 valid matchesDynamo Barnaul: 4.0 · league average 3.6 · 3 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Pobeda NizhnyHome team
−0.421.00 actual
Dynamo BarnaulAway team
−0.091.33 actual
Pobeda Nizhny: 1.00 · league average 1.42 · 6 valid matchesDynamo Barnaul: 1.33 · league average 1.42 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Pobeda NizhnyHome team
+7.3 pp25.0% actual
Dynamo BarnaulAway team
−5.3 pp12.8% actual
Pobeda Nizhny: 25.0% · league average 17.7% · 4 valid matchesDynamo Barnaul: 12.8% · league average 18.2% · 3 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Pobeda NizhnyHome team
+1.0 pp18.6% actual
Dynamo BarnaulAway team
−1.1 pp16.0% actual
Pobeda Nizhny: 18.6% · league average 17.7% · 4 valid matchesDynamo Barnaul: 16.0% · league average 17.1% · 3 valid matches

Individual match details

Pobeda Nizhny · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home2–37 / 105 / 7
11/10/2026Away0–51 / 170 / 7
04/10/2026Home1–2——
25/09/2026Away2–26 / 253 / 12
20/09/2026Away1–2——
13/09/2026Home0–12 / 70 / 1
Dynamo Barnaul · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home2–010 / 65 / 4
11/10/2026Away1–0——
04/10/2026Away0–2——
25/09/2026Home2–225 / 612 / 3
20/09/2026Away2–1——
14/09/2026Home1–24 / 131 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.