Dynamo Barnaul vs KDV Tomsk

14 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Dynamo Barnaul

KDV Tomsk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.8% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 59.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.9% 4.62 DRAW 22.4% 4.10 AWAY 57.7% 1.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dynamo Barnaul

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dynamo Barnaul KDV Tomsk

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Dynamo Barnaul, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dynamo Barnaul KDV Tomsk

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.8

KDV Tomsk has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dynamo Barnaul KDV Tomsk

The combined recent performance profile favours KDV Tomsk.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Dynamo Barnaul = (0.0%)

KDV Tomsk = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.