Cambuur Leeuwarden U21 vs Willem II U21

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Cambuur Leeuwarden U21

Willem II U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 33.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% 2.05 DRAW 23.5% 3.90 AWAY 31.8% 2.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Willem II U21

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cambuur Leeuwarden U21 Willem II U21

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Willem II U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cambuur Leeuwarden U21 Willem II U21

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Cambuur Leeuwarden U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cambuur Leeuwarden U21 Willem II U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cambuur Leeuwarden U21 ↑ +0.05 (+2.5%)

Willem II U21 ↑ +0.19 (+6.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.