Liverpool vs Tottenham

15 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Liverpool

Tottenham

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 28.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% 2.08 DRAW 26.0% 3.74 AWAY 27.2% 3.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Tottenham has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liverpool Tottenham

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 16.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liverpool Tottenham

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Tottenham has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liverpool Tottenham

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Liverpool ↑ +0.23 (+12.4%)

Tottenham ↓ -0.62 (-14.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.