Kilmarnock (W) vs Hibernian (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Kilmarnock (W)

Hibernian (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 1.4% DRAW 3.5% AWAY 95.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 1.0% 100.00 DRAW 3.4% 29.00 AWAY 95.7% 1.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hibernian (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kilmarnock (W) Hibernian (W)

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kilmarnock (W) Hibernian (W)

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Kilmarnock (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kilmarnock (W) Hibernian (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Kilmarnock (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Kilmarnock (W) ↑ +59.00 (+143.9%)

Hibernian (W) ↓ -0.01 (-1.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.