CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Olimpia

11 Sep 2026 · 05:06

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

CD Luis Angel Firpo

CD Olimpia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 41.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.2% 3.23 DRAW 27.3% 3.57 AWAY 42.4% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Olimpia

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Olimpia

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Olimpia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Luis Angel Firpo = (0.0%)

CD Olimpia ↑ +0.05 (+2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.