Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa

17 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

Cartagines

Deportivo Saprissa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% DRAW 33.7% AWAY 24.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% 2.28 DRAW 32.9% 2.95 AWAY 24.5% 3.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Saprissa

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cartagines Deportivo Saprissa

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 16.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cartagines Deportivo Saprissa

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Cartagines has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cartagines Deportivo Saprissa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cartagines ↑ +0.18 (+8.6%)

Deportivo Saprissa ↑ +0.96 (+32.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.