Deportivo Saprissa vs Cartagines

10 Sep 2026 · 03:06

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Deportivo Saprissa

Cartagines

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.9% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 23.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.7% 1.91 DRAW 29.0% 3.20 AWAY 22.3% 4.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Cartagines has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Saprissa Cartagines

Shots 15.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 15.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Saprissa Cartagines

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Cartagines has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Saprissa Cartagines

The combined recent performance profile favours Cartagines.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Deportivo Saprissa ↓ -0.31 (-14.0%)

Cartagines ↑ +0.96 (+29.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.