Spisska Nova Ves vs FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

08 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Spisska Nova Ves

FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.8% DRAW 7.6% AWAY 83.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 5.5% 17.00 DRAW 7.1% 13.00 AWAY 87.4% 1.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Spisska Nova Ves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 8.8% win probability, compared with 5.5% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Spisska Nova Ves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spisska Nova Ves FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

Shots 16.0 · On target 8.0 Shots 15.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Spisska Nova Ves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spisska Nova Ves FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Spisska Nova Ves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spisska Nova Ves FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

The combined recent performance profile favours Spisska Nova Ves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Spisska Nova Ves ↑ +1.50 (+9.7%)

FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova ↑ +0.01 (+1.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.