Slavia Prague vs Lens

10 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Slavia Prague

Lens

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.9% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 36.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.6% 2.75 DRAW 27.2% 3.60 AWAY 37.1% 2.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lens

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Slavia Prague Lens

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 14.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Lens, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Slavia Prague Lens

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Slavia Prague has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Slavia Prague Lens

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Slavia Prague ↓ -0.20 (-6.7%)

Lens ↑ +0.15 (+5.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.