Barcelona vs Feyenoord

09 Sep 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Barcelona

Feyenoord

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.1% DRAW 14.3% AWAY 6.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.9% 2.73 DRAW 15.2% 14.00 AWAY 6.9% 31.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Barcelona has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barcelona Feyenoord

Shots 21.0 · On target 9.0 Shots 20.5 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barcelona Feyenoord

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Barcelona has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barcelona Feyenoord

The combined recent performance profile favours Barcelona.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Barcelona ↑ +1.59 (+139.5%)

Feyenoord ↑ +10.00 (+47.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.