Real Madrid vs Inter Milan

08 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Real Madrid

Inter Milan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.9% DRAW 20.2% AWAY 17.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.7% 1.61 DRAW 21.2% 4.60 AWAY 18.1% 5.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Madrid Inter Milan

Shots 20.0 · On target 8.8 Shots 20.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Madrid Inter Milan

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Madrid Inter Milan

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Real Madrid ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

Inter Milan ↓ -0.10 (-1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.