Lille vs Real Betis

08 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Lille

Real Betis

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 28.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.17 DRAW 27.5% 3.53 AWAY 27.7% 3.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lille Real Betis

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 15.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lille Real Betis

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lille Real Betis

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lille ↓ -0.09 (-4.1%)

Real Betis ↑ +0.25 (+7.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.