AEK Athens vs LASK Linz

08 Sep 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

AEK Athens

LASK Linz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% 1.80 DRAW 24.0% 4.07 AWAY 21.6% 4.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for LASK Linz relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 24.8% win probability, compared with 21.6% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: LASK Linz

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AEK Athens LASK Linz

Shots 16.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 25.5 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours LASK Linz, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AEK Athens LASK Linz

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AEK Athens LASK Linz

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AEK Athens ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

LASK Linz = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.