Bournemouth vs Lincoln City

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Bournemouth

Lincoln City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.3% DRAW 13.9% AWAY 8.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.4% 1.26 DRAW 14.5% 6.75 AWAY 8.1% 12.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lincoln City

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bournemouth Lincoln City

Shots 13.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 15.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bournemouth Lincoln City

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bournemouth Lincoln City

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Bournemouth ↓ -0.07 (-5.3%)

Lincoln City ↑ +2.00 (+20.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.