Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Pyrgos AFC

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Nestos Chrisoupolis

Pyrgos AFC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 29.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% 2.25 DRAW 30.4% 3.10 AWAY 27.7% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Pyrgos AFC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nestos Chrisoupolis Pyrgos AFC

Shots 4.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nestos Chrisoupolis Pyrgos AFC

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Pyrgos AFC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nestos Chrisoupolis Pyrgos AFC

The combined recent performance profile favours Pyrgos AFC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nestos Chrisoupolis ↓ -0.10 (-4.3%)

Pyrgos AFC ↑ +0.60 (+21.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.