Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Zakynthos

06 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Nestos Chrisoupolis

Zakynthos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.9% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 22.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% 1.94 DRAW 27.9% 3.25 AWAY 25.3% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Nestos Chrisoupolis relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.9% win probability, compared with 46.8% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Zakynthos

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nestos Chrisoupolis Zakynthos

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nestos Chrisoupolis Zakynthos

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Nestos Chrisoupolis has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nestos Chrisoupolis Zakynthos

The combined recent performance profile favours Nestos Chrisoupolis.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nestos Chrisoupolis = (0.0%)

Zakynthos = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.