Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Olympic

05 Sep 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Modbury Jets

Adelaide Olympic

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.5% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 18.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% 1.74 DRAW 24.2% 3.94 AWAY 21.1% 4.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Modbury Jets relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.5% win probability, compared with 54.7% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Modbury Jets

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Modbury Jets Adelaide Olympic

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Modbury Jets Adelaide Olympic

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Modbury Jets has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Modbury Jets Adelaide Olympic

The combined recent performance profile favours Modbury Jets.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Modbury Jets ↑ +0.07 (+4.4%)

Adelaide Olympic ↑ +0.72 (+18.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.