Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb

16 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Dinamo Zagreb

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.3% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 55.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.7% 4.31 DRAW 24.4% 4.00 AWAY 52.8% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Dinamo Zagreb has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Beer Sheva Dinamo Zagreb

Shots 11.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Dinamo Zagreb, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Beer Sheva Dinamo Zagreb

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Dinamo Zagreb has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Beer Sheva Dinamo Zagreb

The combined recent performance profile favours Dinamo Zagreb.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hapoel Beer Sheva ↑ +0.62 (+16.8%)

Dinamo Zagreb ↓ -0.20 (-9.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.