SK Sturm Graz vs Rennes

16 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

SK Sturm Graz

Rennes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 53.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.5% 4.32 DRAW 24.3% 4.00 AWAY 53.2% 1.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

SK Sturm Graz Rennes

Shots 14.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 16.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SK Sturm Graz Rennes

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SK Sturm Graz Rennes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

SK Sturm Graz ↑ +0.80 (+22.6%)

Rennes ↓ -0.22 (-10.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.